Saturday 19 November 2016, 17:15
Camp Nou
Full time
66%
17%
17%
Home win
65.7%
Draw
17.3%
Away win
17.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.3% | 5.79 | — | — |
| Malaga | 17.0% | 5.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.9% | 53.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.5% | 13.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 39.8% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| No | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Malaga | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.9
|
1.8
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
3.9
|
6.3
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
8.3
|
5.8
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
7.6
|
5.4
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
3.8
|
5.3
|
3.7
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
2.9
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.