Saturday 10 March 2018, 21:45
La Rosaleda
Full time
8%
17%
76%
Home win
7.7%
Draw
16.7%
Away win
75.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 7.7% | 12.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.6% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 24.4% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Malaga / Barcelona | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
11.4
|
14.0
|
11.0
|
6.5
|
3.1
|
| 1 |
2.7
|
7.9
|
8.8
|
7.0
|
4.1
|
1.9
|
| 2 |
1.0
|
2.4
|
2.8
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.