Wednesday 28 February 2018, 20:30
La Rosaleda
Full time
31%
28%
41%
Home win
31.2%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
40.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.65 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.5% | 8.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Malaga / Sevilla | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
10.0
|
7.4
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
13.4
|
8.7
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
7.4
|
5.1
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
2.9
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.