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Sunday 11 February 2018, 13:00 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
44% 25% 31%
Home win
44.0%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
30.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 44.0% 2.27
Draw 25.4% 3.94
Girona 30.6% 3.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.59
Over 1.5 80.6% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.4% 5.16
Over 2.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 2.5 42.5% 2.35
Over 3.5 35.1% 2.85
Under 3.5 64.9% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.3% 5.45
Under 4.5 81.7% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.4% 1.66
No 39.6% 2.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 69.4% 1.44
Sevilla / Girona 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Girona 56.0% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
6.1
4.5
2.0
0.7
0.2
1
7.6
11.8
7.5
3.3
1.1
0.3
2
6.8
9.2
6.2
2.8
0.9
0.2
3
3.8
5.0
3.4
1.5
0.5
0.1
4
1.5
2.1
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Girona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.