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Saturday 27 January 2018, 19:30 La Rosaleda Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
31% 27% 42%
Home win
30.9%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
41.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Malaga 30.9% 3.24
Draw 27.3% 3.66
Girona 41.8% 2.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 12.93
Over 1.5 75.1% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.9% 4.02
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.4% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.7% 3.61
Under 3.5 72.3% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.62
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.5% 1.84
No 45.5% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Malaga / Draw 58.2% 1.72
Malaga / Girona 72.7% 1.38
Draw / Girona 69.1% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
9.4
7.3
3.5
1.3
0.4
1
7.7
13.0
8.9
4.3
1.6
0.4
2
5.1
7.4
5.4
2.6
0.9
0.3
3
2.1
3.0
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Malaga goals. Columns: Girona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.