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Friday 12 January 2018, 22:00 Coliseum Alfonso Pérez Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
56% 27% 17%
Home win
56.4%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
16.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe 56.4% 1.77
Draw 26.8% 3.74
Malaga 16.8% 5.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.29
Over 1.5 67.5% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.5% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 2.5 59.7% 1.67
Over 3.5 20.0% 5.01
Under 3.5 80.0% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.02
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.8% 2.39
No 58.2% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe / Draw 83.2% 1.20
Getafe / Malaga 73.2% 1.37
Draw / Malaga 43.6% 2.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
6.7
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
15.0
12.2
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.3
9.0
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
6.4
4.7
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.5
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Getafe goals. Columns: Malaga goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.