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Sunday 3 December 2017, 17:15 Coliseum Alfonso Pérez Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
47% 24% 29%
Home win
47.2%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
28.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe 47.2% 2.12
Draw 24.3% 4.11
Valencia 28.5% 3.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.31
Over 1.5 82.8% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.2% 5.81
Over 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.1% 2.56
Over 3.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 3.5 61.4% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.0% 4.76
Under 4.5 79.0% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.5% 1.60
No 37.5% 2.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe / Draw 71.5% 1.40
Getafe / Valencia 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Valencia 52.8% 1.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
5.2
3.9
1.8
0.6
0.2
1
7.1
11.1
7.1
3.2
1.1
0.3
2
6.9
9.4
6.3
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
4.1
5.6
3.8
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.8
2.5
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Getafe goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.