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Sunday 19 November 2017, 17:15 RCDE Stadium Full time
0–2
HT 0–0
37% 27% 36%
Home win
37.4%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
35.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 37.4% 2.68
Draw 27.0% 3.71
Valencia 35.7% 2.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.12
Over 1.5 76.9% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.1% 4.32
Over 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Under 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Over 3.5 29.8% 3.35
Under 3.5 70.2% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.5% 6.87
Under 4.5 85.5% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.6% 1.77
No 43.4% 2.31

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 64.3% 1.55
Espanyol / Valencia 73.0% 1.37
Draw / Valencia 62.6% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
7.9
5.9
2.7
0.9
0.2
1
8.1
12.8
8.2
3.7
1.3
0.3
2
6.2
8.4
5.7
2.6
0.9
0.2
3
2.9
3.9
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
1.0
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.