Saturday 4 November 2017, 19:30
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
33%
34%
32%
Home win
33.5%
Draw
34.4%
Away win
32.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.1% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.1% | 9.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.7% | 26.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| No | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Alaves / Espanyol | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.1
|
13.8
|
6.5
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
14.2
|
6.0
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Espanyol
1-2
Alaves
Nov 2025
Alaves
2-1
Espanyol
Feb 2025
Alaves
0-1
Espanyol
Sep 2024
Espanyol
3-2
Alaves
May 2022
Alaves
2-1
Espanyol
Sep 2021
Espanyol
1-0
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.