Sunday 1 October 2017, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
72%
17%
11%
Home win
72.0%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
10.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.1% | 5.85 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 10.9% | 9.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.53 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.7% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Espanyol | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.9
|
7.9
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.4
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
7.8
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
4.9
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.7
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Espanyol
0-2
Real Madrid
Sep 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Espanyol
Feb 2025
Espanyol
1-0
Real Madrid
Sep 2024
Real Madrid
4-1
Espanyol
Mar 2023
Real Madrid
3-1
Espanyol
Aug 2022
Espanyol
1-3
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.