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Saturday 9 September 2017, 14:00 Santiago Bernabéu Full time
73% 16% 11%
Home win
72.7%
Draw
16.0%
Away win
11.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid 72.7% 1.37
Draw 16.0% 6.26
Levante 11.3% 8.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.3% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.7% 36.54
Over 1.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.7% 9.31
Over 2.5 72.4% 1.38
Under 2.5 27.6% 3.62
Over 3.5 51.7% 1.93
Under 3.5 48.3% 2.07
Over 4.5 32.3% 3.09
Under 4.5 67.7% 1.48

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.4% 1.66
No 39.6% 2.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid / Draw 88.7% 1.13
Real Madrid / Levante 84.0% 1.19
Draw / Levante 27.3% 3.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.7
2.0
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
6.0
7.0
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
2
8.7
8.9
4.6
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
7.9
8.1
4.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
5.4
5.5
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
5
2.9
3.0
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Madrid goals. Columns: Levante goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.