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Sunday 20 August 2017, 23:15 Estadio de Riazor Full time
15% 18% 67%
Home win
14.6%
Draw
18.5%
Away win
66.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna 14.6% 6.83
Draw 18.5% 5.41
Real Madrid 66.9% 1.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.18
Over 1.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.5% 7.98
Over 2.5 69.0% 1.45
Under 2.5 31.0% 3.22
Over 3.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 3.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 4.5 28.5% 3.50
Under 4.5 71.5% 1.40

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.3% 1.63
No 38.7% 2.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna / Draw 33.1% 3.02
Deportivo La Coruna / Real Madrid 81.5% 1.23
Draw / Real Madrid 85.4% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
6.6
8.6
7.1
4.4
2.2
1
2.7
8.2
9.5
7.8
4.8
2.4
2
1.7
4.2
5.2
4.3
2.6
1.3
3
0.6
1.5
1.9
1.6
1.0
0.5
4
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.