Sunday 14 May 2017, 21:00
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
66%
22%
12%
Home win
66.1%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
11.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 11.8% | 8.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.9% | 8.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Deportivo La Coruna | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Deportivo La Coruna | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.9
|
10.3
|
3.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.8
|
9.3
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
5.9
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2018
Deportivo La Coruna
2-4
Villarreal
Jan 2018
Villarreal
1-1
Deportivo La Coruna
Jan 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
0-0
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.