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Wednesday 26 April 2017, 22:30 Estadio de Riazor Full time
17% 20% 63%
Home win
16.6%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
63.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna 16.6% 6.02
Draw 20.3% 4.92
Real Madrid 63.1% 1.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.9% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.1% 24.24
Over 1.5 85.0% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.0% 6.64
Over 2.5 64.5% 1.55
Under 2.5 35.5% 2.82
Over 3.5 42.5% 2.35
Under 3.5 57.5% 1.74
Over 4.5 24.2% 4.14
Under 4.5 75.8% 1.32

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.6% 1.68
No 40.4% 2.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna / Draw 36.9% 2.71
Deportivo La Coruna / Real Madrid 79.7% 1.26
Draw / Real Madrid 83.4% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.1
7.6
9.1
6.8
3.8
1.7
1
3.4
9.3
9.8
7.3
4.1
1.8
2
2.1
4.7
5.3
4.0
2.2
1.0
3
0.8
1.7
1.9
1.4
0.8
0.4
4
0.2
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.