Sunday 23 April 2017, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
44%
22%
34%
Home win
44.1%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
34.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.3% | 43.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.9% | 11.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| No | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Barcelona | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.3
|
3.0
|
3.2
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
3.5
|
7.8
|
6.9
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.2
|
7.8
|
7.3
|
4.5
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
5.5
|
5.1
|
3.2
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
2.9
|
2.7
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Barcelona
2-0
Real Madrid
Oct 2025
Real Madrid
2-1
Barcelona
May 2025
Barcelona
4-3
Real Madrid
Oct 2024
Real Madrid
0-4
Barcelona
Apr 2024
Real Madrid
3-2
Barcelona
Oct 2023
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.