Wednesday 5 April 2017, 20:30
Camp Nou
Full time
70%
17%
13%
Home win
69.7%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
13.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 13.2% | 7.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 36.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.8% | 9.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Sevilla | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
7.3
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
9.1
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
8.0
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.8
|
5.3
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
2.8
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Barcelona
5-2
Sevilla
Oct 2025
Sevilla
4-1
Barcelona
Feb 2025
Sevilla
1-4
Barcelona
Oct 2024
Barcelona
5-1
Sevilla
May 2024
Sevilla
1-2
Barcelona
Sep 2023
Barcelona
1-0
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.