Sunday 19 March 2017, 17:15
Vicente Calderón
Full time
50%
26%
24%
Home win
50.3%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
23.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.7% | 7.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Sevilla | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
6.4
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
12.4
|
6.2
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.6
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
5.2
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2025
Atletico Madrid
3-0
Sevilla
Apr 2025
Sevilla
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Dec 2024
Atletico Madrid
4-3
Sevilla
Feb 2024
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Dec 2023
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.