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Thursday 2 March 2017, 22:30 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
59% 23% 18%
Home win
59.5%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
17.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 59.5% 1.68
Draw 22.9% 4.36
Athletic Club 17.6% 5.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.27
Over 1.5 79.1% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.9% 4.78
Over 2.5 55.3% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.7% 2.24
Over 3.5 32.9% 3.04
Under 3.5 67.1% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.7% 5.97
Under 4.5 83.3% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.4% 1.87
No 46.6% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 82.4% 1.21
Sevilla / Athletic Club 77.1% 1.30
Draw / Athletic Club 40.6% 2.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
4.7
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
10.1
10.9
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.9
4.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
6.7
6.4
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
3.2
3.1
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.