Sunday 5 February 2017, 13:00
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
42%
28%
30%
Home win
42.2%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
30.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.2% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.1% | 8.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Villarreal | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
8.0
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.0
|
13.2
|
7.3
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
8.9
|
5.2
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.2
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Villarreal
2-3
Sevilla
Sep 2025
Sevilla
1-2
Villarreal
May 2025
Villarreal
4-2
Sevilla
Aug 2024
Sevilla
1-2
Villarreal
May 2024
Villarreal
3-2
Sevilla
Dec 2023
Sevilla
1-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.