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Saturday 28 January 2017, 14:00 Estadio de la Cerámica Full time
73% 19% 8%
Home win
73.0%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
7.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal 73.0% 1.37
Draw 19.2% 5.20
Granada CF 7.8% 12.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.39
Over 1.5 73.4% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.6% 3.75
Over 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 3.5 26.0% 3.85
Under 3.5 74.0% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.0% 8.35
Under 4.5 88.0% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.1% 2.77
No 63.9% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal / Draw 92.2% 1.08
Villarreal / Granada CF 80.8% 1.24
Draw / Granada CF 27.0% 3.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
15.1
8.7
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
2
16.0
8.4
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
11.0
5.8
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
5.6
3.0
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Villarreal goals. Columns: Granada CF goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.