Saturday 7 January 2017, 14:00
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
88%
8%
4%
Home win
88.0%
Draw
8.5%
Away win
3.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.5% | 11.82 | — | — |
| Granada CF | 3.5% | 28.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.8% | 55.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.9% | 12.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 21.8% | 4.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Granada CF | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw / Granada CF | 12.0% | 8.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.1
|
7.4
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.7
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.7
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2024
Granada CF
0-4
Real Madrid
Dec 2023
Real Madrid
2-0
Granada CF
Feb 2022
Real Madrid
1-0
Granada CF
Nov 2021
Granada CF
1-4
Real Madrid
May 2021
Granada CF
1-4
Real Madrid
Dec 2020
Real Madrid
2-0
Granada CF
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.