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Sunday 27 November 2016, 19:30 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
66% 19% 15%
Home win
66.1%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
14.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 66.1% 1.51
Draw 19.1% 5.23
Granada CF 14.8% 6.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.48
Over 1.5 86.0% 1.16
Under 1.5 14.0% 7.13
Over 2.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 2.5 33.7% 2.97
Over 3.5 44.5% 2.25
Under 3.5 55.5% 1.80
Over 4.5 25.9% 3.87
Under 4.5 74.1% 1.35

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.4% 1.68
No 40.6% 2.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 85.2% 1.17
Celta Vigo / Granada CF 80.9% 1.24
Draw / Granada CF 33.9% 2.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
3.0
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
1
7.3
8.7
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
2
9.2
9.7
5.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
7.2
7.6
4.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
4.3
4.5
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
2.0
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Granada CF goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.