Skip to content
Saturday 19 November 2016, 19:30 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
50% 24% 26%
Home win
49.8%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
26.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 49.8% 2.01
Draw 23.7% 4.21
Celta Vigo 26.5% 3.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.37
Over 1.5 83.5% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.5% 6.06
Over 2.5 62.0% 1.61
Under 2.5 38.0% 2.63
Over 3.5 39.8% 2.51
Under 3.5 60.2% 1.66
Over 4.5 22.0% 4.55
Under 4.5 78.0% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.8% 1.59
No 37.2% 2.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 73.6% 1.36
Eibar / Celta Vigo 76.3% 1.31
Draw / Celta Vigo 50.2% 1.99

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
4.8
3.6
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
7.0
10.7
6.7
3.0
1.0
0.3
2
7.2
9.5
6.3
2.8
0.9
0.2
3
4.5
5.9
3.9
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
2.1
2.8
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.8
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.