Sunday 30 October 2016, 13:00
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
23%
28%
49%
Home win
23.0%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
48.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 23.0% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.5% | 9.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.7% | 4.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.8% | 11.42 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Eibar / Villarreal | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.5
|
13.1
|
9.9
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
13.3
|
9.0
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
3.9
|
5.6
|
4.0
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Eibar
1-3
Villarreal
Sep 2020
Villarreal
2-1
Eibar
Jul 2020
Villarreal
4-0
Eibar
Oct 2019
Eibar
2-1
Villarreal
May 2019
Villarreal
1-0
Eibar
Jan 2019
Eibar
0-0
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.