Sunday 23 October 2016, 19:30
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
58%
25%
17%
Home win
57.7%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
17.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 17.0% | 5.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.1% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.8% | 9.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Las Palmas | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
11.9
|
4.5
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.8
|
9.5
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
5.3
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Las Palmas
1-2
Villarreal
Sep 2024
Villarreal
3-1
Las Palmas
Jan 2024
Las Palmas
3-0
Villarreal
Oct 2023
Villarreal
1-2
Las Palmas
Mar 2018
Las Palmas
0-2
Villarreal
Oct 2017
Villarreal
4-0
Las Palmas
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.