Sunday 11 March 2018, 19:30
Gran Canaria
Full time
22%
26%
51%
Home win
22.2%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
51.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.6% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.8% | 8.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Villarreal | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
11.5
|
9.8
|
5.2
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
12.6
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
3.6
|
5.8
|
4.6
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
1.9
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Las Palmas
1-2
Villarreal
Sep 2024
Villarreal
3-1
Las Palmas
Jan 2024
Las Palmas
3-0
Villarreal
Oct 2023
Villarreal
1-2
Las Palmas
Oct 2017
Villarreal
4-0
Las Palmas
Mar 2017
Las Palmas
1-0
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.