Friday 17 March 2017, 21:45
Gran Canaria
Full time
26%
29%
45%
Home win
26.1%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
45.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 26.1% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.3% | 9.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.2% | 4.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.0% | 11.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Villarreal | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.3
|
12.3
|
9.0
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
13.6
|
8.8
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
4.6
|
6.3
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.1
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Las Palmas
1-2
Villarreal
Sep 2024
Villarreal
3-1
Las Palmas
Jan 2024
Las Palmas
3-0
Villarreal
Oct 2023
Villarreal
1-2
Las Palmas
Mar 2018
Las Palmas
0-2
Villarreal
Oct 2017
Villarreal
4-0
Las Palmas
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.