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Friday 24 February 2017, 21:45 Gran Canaria Full time
38% 26% 36%
Home win
37.6%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
36.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 37.6% 2.66
Draw 26.3% 3.81
Real Sociedad 36.1% 2.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.81
Over 1.5 78.9% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.1% 4.73
Over 2.5 54.9% 1.82
Under 2.5 45.1% 2.22
Over 3.5 32.5% 3.07
Under 3.5 67.5% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.5% 6.08
Under 4.5 83.5% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.9% 1.70
No 41.1% 2.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 63.9% 1.57
Las Palmas / Real Sociedad 73.7% 1.36
Draw / Real Sociedad 62.4% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
7.3
5.7
2.7
1.0
0.3
1
7.5
12.3
8.3
3.9
1.4
0.4
2
6.0
8.5
6.0
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
2.9
4.1
2.9
1.4
0.5
0.1
4
1.1
1.5
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.