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Saturday 14 April 2018, 19:30 Gran Canaria Full time
26% 23% 50%
Home win
26.4%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
50.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 26.4% 3.78
Draw 23.5% 4.26
Real Sociedad 50.1% 2.00

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.46
Over 1.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.8% 6.32
Over 2.5 63.2% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.8% 2.71
Over 3.5 41.0% 2.44
Under 3.5 59.0% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.9% 4.36
Under 4.5 77.1% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.6% 1.57
No 36.4% 2.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 49.9% 2.00
Las Palmas / Real Sociedad 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Real Sociedad 73.6% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
6.8
7.0
4.5
2.1
0.8
1
4.6
10.5
9.5
6.0
2.9
1.1
2
3.5
6.7
6.4
4.1
1.9
0.7
3
1.6
3.0
2.9
1.8
0.9
0.3
4
0.5
1.0
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.