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Sunday 11 March 2018, 13:00 RCDE Stadium Full time
41% 27% 32%
Home win
40.8%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
32.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 40.8% 2.45
Draw 27.3% 3.67
Real Sociedad 32.0% 3.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.18
Over 1.5 75.5% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.5% 4.08
Over 2.5 50.1% 1.99
Under 2.5 49.9% 2.01
Over 3.5 28.2% 3.55
Under 3.5 71.8% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.4% 7.45
Under 4.5 86.6% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.0% 1.82
No 45.0% 2.22

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 68.0% 1.47
Espanyol / Real Sociedad 72.7% 1.37
Draw / Real Sociedad 59.2% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
7.8
5.3
2.2
0.7
0.2
1
9.1
13.0
7.6
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
7.1
8.8
5.5
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.4
4.2
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
1.2
1.5
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.