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Sunday 11 February 2018, 19:30 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
48% 26% 25%
Home win
48.3%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
25.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 48.3% 2.07
Draw 26.2% 3.82
Espanyol 25.5% 3.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.74
Over 1.5 76.2% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.8% 4.21
Over 2.5 51.2% 1.95
Under 2.5 48.8% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.1% 3.44
Under 3.5 70.9% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.0% 7.12
Under 4.5 86.0% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.4% 1.84
No 45.6% 2.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 74.5% 1.34
Celta Vigo / Espanyol 73.8% 1.35
Draw / Espanyol 51.7% 1.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
6.6
4.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
9.9
12.5
6.5
2.4
0.7
0.1
2
8.5
9.5
5.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
4.6
5.1
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.9
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Espanyol goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.