Sunday 21 January 2018, 19:30
Anoeta
Full time
50%
22%
27%
Home win
50.5%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
27.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.3% | 8.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| No | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Celta Vigo | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
3.7
|
3.1
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
9.2
|
6.5
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
9.1
|
6.8
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
6.3
|
4.7
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
3.3
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Real Sociedad
3-1
Celta Vigo
Oct 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Real Sociedad
May 2025
Real Sociedad
0-1
Celta Vigo
Dec 2024
Celta Vigo
2-0
Real Sociedad
Jan 2024
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Sociedad
Aug 2023
Real Sociedad
1-1
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.