Saturday 16 December 2017, 17:15
San Mamés
Full time
48%
26%
26%
Home win
47.9%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
26.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.0% | 4.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.6% | 6.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Real Sociedad | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
6.3
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
12.2
|
6.7
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.1
|
9.5
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
5.2
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Athletic Club
1-1
Real Sociedad
Nov 2025
Real Sociedad
3-2
Athletic Club
May 2025
Real Sociedad
0-0
Athletic Club
Nov 2024
Athletic Club
1-0
Real Sociedad
Jan 2024
Athletic Club
2-1
Real Sociedad
Sep 2023
Real Sociedad
3-0
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.