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Sunday 5 November 2017, 17:15 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
36% 27% 37%
Home win
36.0%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
37.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 36.0% 2.77
Draw 26.6% 3.76
Athletic Club 37.4% 2.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.7% 15.03
Over 1.5 78.0% 1.28
Under 1.5 22.0% 4.54
Over 2.5 53.6% 1.87
Under 2.5 46.4% 2.16
Over 3.5 31.3% 3.19
Under 3.5 68.7% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.6% 6.41
Under 4.5 84.4% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.9% 1.73
No 42.1% 2.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 62.6% 1.60
Celta Vigo / Athletic Club 73.4% 1.36
Draw / Athletic Club 64.0% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.7
7.8
6.0
2.9
1.0
0.3
1
7.6
12.5
8.4
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
5.8
8.3
5.9
2.8
1.0
0.3
3
2.7
3.9
2.7
1.3
0.5
0.1
4
0.9
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.