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Saturday 14 October 2017, 14:00 San Mamés Full time
38% 29% 33%
Home win
38.0%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
33.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 38.0% 2.63
Draw 28.8% 3.47
Sevilla 33.2% 3.01

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.67
Over 1.5 71.1% 1.41
Under 1.5 28.9% 3.46
Over 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Under 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.3% 4.30
Under 3.5 76.7% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.3% 9.74
Under 4.5 89.7% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.7% 1.97
No 49.3% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 66.8% 1.50
Athletic Club / Sevilla 71.2% 1.40
Draw / Sevilla 62.0% 1.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
9.3
6.0
2.3
0.7
0.2
1
10.2
13.7
7.6
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
7.0
8.2
4.9
1.9
0.6
0.1
3
3.0
3.5
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
1.0
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.