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Sunday 17 September 2017, 19:30 Gran Canaria Full time
27% 26% 47%
Home win
27.3%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
46.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 27.3% 3.66
Draw 26.0% 3.84
Athletic Club 46.7% 2.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.71
Over 1.5 77.5% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.5% 4.45
Over 2.5 53.0% 1.89
Under 2.5 47.0% 2.13
Over 3.5 30.7% 3.25
Under 3.5 69.3% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.2% 6.58
Under 4.5 84.8% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.3% 1.78
No 43.7% 2.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 53.3% 1.88
Las Palmas / Athletic Club 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Athletic Club 72.7% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
9.1
7.9
4.3
1.7
0.6
1
6.5
12.3
9.4
5.1
2.0
0.7
2
4.3
6.9
5.6
3.0
1.2
0.4
3
1.7
2.7
2.2
1.2
0.5
0.2
4
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.