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Friday 9 February 2018, 22:00 San Mamés Full time
68% 20% 12%
Home win
67.5%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
12.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 67.5% 1.48
Draw 20.2% 4.95
Las Palmas 12.3% 8.16

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.97
Over 1.5 79.5% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.5% 4.89
Over 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Under 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Over 3.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 3.5 66.3% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.3% 5.78
Under 4.5 82.7% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.0% 2.04
No 51.0% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 87.7% 1.14
Athletic Club / Las Palmas 79.8% 1.25
Draw / Las Palmas 32.5% 3.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
3.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
10.8
9.6
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.1
9.7
3.9
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
8.6
6.9
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
4.6
3.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
2.0
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.