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Saturday 6 January 2018, 19:30 Gran Canaria Full time
1–2
HT 1–0
30% 25% 45%
Home win
30.0%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
45.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 30.0% 3.33
Draw 24.7% 4.05
Eibar 45.3% 2.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.72
Over 1.5 82.4% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.6% 5.68
Over 2.5 60.2% 1.66
Under 2.5 39.8% 2.51
Over 3.5 37.9% 2.64
Under 3.5 62.1% 1.61
Over 4.5 20.5% 4.89
Under 4.5 79.5% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.3% 1.61
No 37.7% 2.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 54.7% 1.83
Las Palmas / Eibar 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Eibar 70.0% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
7.1
6.7
3.9
1.7
0.6
1
5.5
11.3
9.2
5.3
2.3
0.8
2
4.2
7.3
6.4
3.7
1.6
0.6
3
1.9
3.4
2.9
1.7
0.7
0.3
4
0.7
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Eibar goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.