Skip to content
Saturday 12 May 2018, 19:30 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
65% 22% 13%
Home win
65.3%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
13.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 65.3% 1.53
Draw 21.5% 4.64
Las Palmas 13.1% 7.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.73
Over 1.5 77.1% 1.30
Under 1.5 22.9% 4.37
Over 2.5 52.6% 1.90
Under 2.5 47.4% 2.11
Over 3.5 30.3% 3.30
Under 3.5 69.7% 1.44
Over 4.5 14.9% 6.71
Under 4.5 85.1% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.4% 2.11
No 52.6% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 86.9% 1.15
Eibar / Las Palmas 78.5% 1.27
Draw / Las Palmas 34.7% 2.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
4.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
11.8
10.3
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.4
9.7
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
8.3
6.4
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
4.1
3.2
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.7
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.