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Thursday 19 April 2018, 22:30 Benito Villamarín Full time
65% 20% 15%
Home win
65.0%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
15.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 65.0% 1.54
Draw 20.0% 5.00
Las Palmas 15.0% 6.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.55
Over 1.5 83.9% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.1% 6.23
Over 2.5 62.9% 1.59
Under 2.5 37.1% 2.69
Over 3.5 40.7% 2.46
Under 3.5 59.3% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.7% 4.41
Under 4.5 77.3% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.9% 1.76
No 43.1% 2.32

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 85.0% 1.18
Real Betis / Las Palmas 80.0% 1.25
Draw / Las Palmas 35.0% 2.86

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
3.4
1.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
1
8.3
9.3
4.4
1.5
0.4
0.1
2
9.8
9.8
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
7.4
7.3
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
4.1
4.1
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
1.9
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.