Sunday 22 April 2018, 19:30
Gran Canaria
Full time
32%
30%
37%
Home win
32.2%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
37.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Alaves | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.6% | 8.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.1% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.5% | 5.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.5% | 13.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.8% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Alaves | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.6
|
11.8
|
7.3
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
14.1
|
7.8
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.1
|
7.1
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Las Palmas
2-2
Alaves
Sep 2024
Alaves
2-0
Las Palmas
May 2024
Las Palmas
1-1
Alaves
Dec 2023
Alaves
0-1
Las Palmas
Dec 2017
Alaves
2-0
Las Palmas
Apr 2017
Las Palmas
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.