Saturday 17 March 2018, 17:15
Mestalla
Full time
59%
24%
17%
Home win
59.1%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
16.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Alaves | 16.7% | 5.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.8% | 12.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.8% | 7.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
| No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Valencia / Alaves | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.8
|
5.4
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
11.5
|
4.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
9.7
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.8
|
5.8
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Valencia
3-2
Alaves
Oct 2025
Alaves
0-0
Valencia
May 2025
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
Dec 2024
Valencia
2-2
Alaves
May 2024
Valencia
0-1
Alaves
Sep 2023
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.