Saturday 17 February 2018, 21:45
La Rosaleda
Full time
29%
27%
44%
Home win
29.0%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
43.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 29.0% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Valencia | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 7.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Malaga / Valencia | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
9.9
|
7.8
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
13.0
|
9.0
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.8
|
7.1
|
5.2
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
2.7
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.