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Sunday 11 February 2018, 21:45 Mestalla Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
59% 24% 17%
Home win
59.0%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
17.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia 59.0% 1.70
Draw 23.6% 4.23
Levante 17.4% 5.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.41
Over 1.5 76.9% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.1% 4.33
Over 2.5 52.2% 1.92
Under 2.5 47.8% 2.09
Over 3.5 30.0% 3.33
Under 3.5 70.0% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.7% 6.81
Under 4.5 85.3% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia / Draw 82.6% 1.21
Valencia / Levante 76.4% 1.31
Draw / Levante 41.0% 2.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
5.1
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
11.0
11.3
4.8
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.8
9.9
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.7
6.1
2.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
3.1
2.8
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Valencia goals. Columns: Levante goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.