Sunday 4 February 2018, 21:45
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
66%
22%
12%
Home win
65.6%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
12.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Valencia | 12.0% | 8.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.5% | 8.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Valencia | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.1
|
10.4
|
3.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.8
|
9.2
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.6
|
5.8
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Valencia
0-2
Atletico Madrid
Dec 2025
Atletico Madrid
2-1
Valencia
Feb 2025
Valencia
0-3
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2024
Atletico Madrid
3-0
Valencia
Jan 2024
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Sep 2023
Valencia
3-0
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.