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Friday 22 December 2017, 22:30 RCDE Stadium Full time
16% 30% 53%
Home win
16.3%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
53.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 16.3% 6.14
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Atletico Madrid 53.4% 1.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.5% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.5% 6.44
Over 1.5 57.6% 1.74
Under 1.5 42.4% 2.36
Over 2.5 29.9% 3.35
Under 2.5 70.1% 1.43
Over 3.5 12.7% 7.88
Under 3.5 87.3% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.5% 22.31
Under 4.5 95.5% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.6% 2.98
No 66.4% 1.51

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 46.6% 2.15
Espanyol / Atletico Madrid 69.7% 1.44
Draw / Atletico Madrid 83.7% 1.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.5
18.7
12.7
5.6
1.8
0.5
1
8.2
12.3
7.6
3.3
1.1
0.3
2
2.6
3.5
2.3
1.0
0.3
0.1
3
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.