Saturday 18 November 2017, 21:45
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
46%
28%
26%
Home win
45.8%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
26.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.9% | 9.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Real Madrid | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
7.8
|
4.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
13.2
|
6.5
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
9.1
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
4.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Real Madrid
3-2
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2025
Atletico Madrid
5-2
Real Madrid
Feb 2025
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2024
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Real Madrid
Feb 2024
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2023
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.