Saturday 14 October 2017, 21:45
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
36%
28%
36%
Home win
35.9%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
36.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.8% | 7.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Barcelona | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
8.7
|
6.3
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.7
|
13.2
|
8.2
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
8.2
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
3.6
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Atletico Madrid
1-2
Barcelona
Dec 2025
Barcelona
3-1
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2025
Atletico Madrid
2-4
Barcelona
Dec 2024
Barcelona
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2024
Atletico Madrid
0-3
Barcelona
Dec 2023
Barcelona
1-0
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.