Saturday 9 September 2017, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
78%
14%
7%
Home win
78.4%
Draw
14.1%
Away win
7.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.1% | 7.08 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 7.5% | 13.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.9% | 7.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Espanyol | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
6.6
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
8.6
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.2
|
7.9
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.1
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.9
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Barcelona
4-1
Espanyol
Jan 2026
Espanyol
0-2
Barcelona
May 2025
Espanyol
0-2
Barcelona
Nov 2024
Barcelona
3-1
Espanyol
May 2023
Espanyol
2-4
Barcelona
Dec 2022
Barcelona
1-1
Espanyol
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.