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Sunday 21 May 2017, 21:00 Camp Nou Full time
4–2
HT 0–1
78% 14% 8%
Home win
78.1%
Draw
13.8%
Away win
8.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Barcelona 78.1% 1.28
Draw 13.8% 7.27
Eibar 8.1% 12.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.4% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.6% 38.54
Over 1.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.4% 9.59
Over 2.5 73.0% 1.37
Under 2.5 27.0% 3.71
Over 3.5 52.6% 1.90
Under 3.5 47.4% 2.11
Over 4.5 33.1% 3.02
Under 4.5 66.9% 1.50

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.0% 1.79
No 44.0% 2.27

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Barcelona / Draw 91.9% 1.09
Barcelona / Eibar 86.2% 1.16
Draw / Eibar 21.9% 4.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.6
1.6
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
6.2
6.2
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
9.5
8.4
3.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
9.2
8.2
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
4
6.7
5.9
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
3.9
3.5
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Barcelona goals. Columns: Eibar goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.